Voter turnout in Saginaw County’s Aug. 4 major election was 31 p.c, or about 48,000 out of 152,000 registered voters.
My first response, and suggestions from some associates, was that it is a unhappy quantity. With all that’s happening, just one in three folks would even take a couple of minutes to vote? Or to place it one other method, with all that’s happening, two of three adults would NOT hassle taking a couple of minutes to go and vote, or at the least do an absentee poll. It’s not like there have been hours-long strains, like in some principally Deep South places the place voter repression stays in full swing. (See Georgia, 2018, Brian Kemp over Stacey Abrams for governor.)
Certainly, 31 p.c turnout is a tragic quantity. However analysis reveals that for a celebration major, this was Saginaw County’s highest turnout since at the least the 12 months 2000, flip of the millennium. In most years since then, the first election turnout was down nearer to twenty p.c. And so perhaps there nonetheless is hope.
A few of the prime major outcomes have been:
- Within the city-based state Home ninety fifth District, Amos O’Neal landslided 4 opponents, together with his essential foe, Clint Bryant, to take over for term-limited Vanessa Guerra. O’Neal’s expertise, reaching into the previous twenty years, included Metropolis Council after which the County Board. Bryant’s background, beginning up to now decade, has been Metropolis Council. Each males may even see vivid futures, however the first activity could also be to make peace with each other.
- Within the suburban and out-county state Home 94th District, Demond Tibbs nosed out Kevin Seamon by a few 5-to-4 margin. Why was it even this shut? Tibbs is seasoned in native affairs, together with a Metropolis Council stint, whereas Seamon undoubtedly was an outlying fringe candidate. (Merely learn his assertion again in The Banner’s July 16 election preview pages.) It appears this can be Trump Nation, which implies Mr. Tibbs might face an uphill problem within the November normal election.
- For county clerk, the Vanessa Guerra’s victory over Mike Hanley was not a giant shock, however her 2-1 margin of victory shocked all native politicos, together with the 2 candidates themselves. Probably the youthful and clearly widespread Guerra, if she would so select, often is the No.1 native Democrat able to breaking the longtime Republican stranglehold on Saginaw County’s state Senate seat when Ken Horn is term-limited out of workplace in 2022. The final Dem to carry the seat was Jerry Hart, ousted by Jon Cisky in 1990, adopted by Mike Goschka, Dr. Roger Kahn (who narrowly defeated Carl Williams) after which Ken Horn. Hanley additionally can be a potential bounce-back state Senate candidate, together with his expertise on Metropolis Council, within the state Home, on the County Board, after which as clerk.
- Lastly, within the two tax elections, the Fort Museum and the Sheriff’s county highway patrols each gained clear lower approval, however the museum reaped 5,000 extra votes than the police. Museum leaders ran a high-profile marketing campaign with plenty of yard indicators, whereas the Sheriff’s Division and the county board operated a kind of stealth low-profile technique, with no indicators and scant publicity. Is there perhaps a lesson in these contrasting eventualities?